The latest polls published to predict the outcome of the General Election on July 4 suggest the Labour Party is still on course to take four of Cumbria’s five seats.
Electoral Calculus suggests that nationally, the Conservative Party will slump to 80 seats, compared to 376 in the 2019 election, while Labour will have 461, a rise from 197.
In 2019, Barrow and Furness and the Workington constituencies – both traditionally Labour strongholds – turned blue for the first time since 2010.
The 2019 General Election saw political parties target these so-called red wall seats and Workington man was the name given for the voters the Conservatives wanted to win over.
Westmorland and Lonsdale has been a Liberal Democrat seat since 2005, when Tim Farron was elected to Parliament. Previously it had been held by the Conservatives.
Here is the breakdown currently suggested by Electoral Calculus for Cumbria in the 2024 General Election:
Meanwhile, the latest YouGov poll suggests some Cumbrian seats will be tighter than Electoral Calculus suggests and also gives its prediction as to how other parties will fare on July 4:
